Via News Knowledge File
Federal Reserve
government agency80% conf.·synced Nov 15, 2026
U.S. central bank that may implement rate cuts as potential demand stimulus
59
sourced metrics
1579
relationships
20
stated objectives
3
Via News reports
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Key metrics · each point sourced
Unemployment Rate Forecast
4.4percent
Dec 31, 2026⚠ sources conflictsource
Core Pce Inflation Forecast
2.5percent
Dec 31, 2026⚠ sources conflictsource
Market Implied Probability Quarter Point Hike December
84percent
Nov 10, 2026source
Market Implied Probability Half Point Hike December
15percent
Nov 10, 2026source
Market Implied Probability Of Rate Hike At Next Meeting
78percent
Nov 6, 2026source
December Hike Probability
78percent
Nov 6, 2026source
Market Implied Probability Hold October 2026
63percent
Oct 14, 2026source
Market Implied Probability 25bp Hike October 2026
38percent
Oct 14, 2026source
Inflation Target
2percent
Sep 14, 2026source
Rate Hike Probability July
33percent
Jul 29, 2026source
Rate Hike Probability
31percent
Jul 8, 2026source
Rate Hike Probability Next Meeting
36percent
Jun 18, 2026source
Parameter Count
2percent
Jun 3, 2026source
Inflation Forecast
3.6percent
Jun 1, 2026source
Implied Rate Cut Probability Next Meeting
0percent
May 28, 2026source
Cash
6.7trillion_USD
May 24, 2026source
Debt
40trillion_USD_national_debt
May 19, 2026source
Gdp
3.75percent_upper_bound
May 17, 2026source
Stated objectives
Rate cuts in 2026
sourcetarget: 1 by 2026-01-01 00:00:00stated
Normalization of target rate
sourcetarget: 3.5% or 3.0% stated
Inflation rate target
sourcetarget: 2.5% by 2026-01-01 00:00:00stated
Reduce federal funds rate by 250 basis points by end of 2026
sourcetarget: 250 basis points decline by 2026-12-31 00:00:00stated
Purchase up to $40B per month in Treasury bills plus approximately $15B from MBS paydowns through reserve management program
sourcetarget: 40B USD per month in bills stated
Cut interest rates two more times in 2025
sourcetarget: 2 cuts by 2025-01-01 00:00:00stated
Bring interest rate range to 4%-4.25%
sourcetarget: 4-4.25 percent by 2025-09-17 00:00:00stated
Reduce inflation to 2% target
sourcetarget: 2 percent stated
Reduce Fed funds rate to 3.5-3.75% range by December 2025 meeting
sourcetarget: 3.5-3.75% by 2025-12-31 00:00:00stated
Cut interest rates in December 2026
sourcetarget: 25 basis points by 2026-12-01 00:00:00stated
Relationship graph · 1579 connections
regulates
583
Employs
385
subsidiary of
204
governs
65
Covered by
57
board member of
38
regulated by
23
located in
22
regulates
subsidiary of
advises
Via News coverage
This Knowledge File is assembled from Via News's source-traceable knowledge graph. Metrics, objectives and relationships are extracted from primary and credible secondary documents and refreshed on a schedule. Read our methodology →