Adeia outlines 2026 revenue guidance of $395M–$435M while Pay-TV share projected to fall to 35–40%

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• 2026 operating expenses forecasted at $184 million to $192 million with modest single-digit growth for R&D and SG&A

  80% confidence

• NAND royalties based on fixed amount per unit, company benefits from increase in volume not pricing

  80% confidence

• First half and second half of 2026 expected to be relatively equal in terms of revenue contribution

  80% confidence

• Non-Pay-TV recurring revenue grew 30% in Q4 year-over-year

  80% confidence

• Q4 outperformance attributed to very favorable royalty reports from increased volume and strong close with new business including Disney and Major League Baseball

  80% confidence

• 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin expected at approximately 55%

  80% confidence

• Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $133.9 million, reflecting adjusted EBITDA margin of 73%

  80% confidence

• Company has multiple paths to get within 2026 guidance range, expressing optimism in semiconductor pipeline

  80% confidence

• Litigation expense expected to rise anywhere between $5 million to $10 million above $25 million baseline in 2026

  80% confidence

• OTT projected to be about 30-plus percent of total revenue in 2026

  80% confidence

• Disney agreement resolves all disputes after a year of litigation and reinforces strength of Adeia's IP portfolio

  80% confidence

• Pay-TV subscriber decline trends showing some moderation as total percentage and expected to continue

  80% confidence

• In Q4, recurring versus nonrecurring revenue was almost equally split

  80% confidence

• Q4 record revenue of $182.6 million was driven by execution of 9 deals across diverse mix of customers

  80% confidence

• Microsoft deal structured like many other Pay-TV and non-Pay-TV deals and will be a significant customer

  80% confidence

• Company is confident it will ultimately successfully resolve the DIRECTV litigation matter

  80% confidence

• Pay-TV projected to represent approximately 35% to 40% of forecasted revenue in 2026

  80% confidence

• Semiconductor revenue increased to about $26 million in 2025 from $18 million in 2024, representing 40% growth

  80% confidence

• Record annual revenue exceeded the high end of guidance range, and company delivered excellent operating income and EBITDA also exceeding high end of guidance

  80% confidence

• RapidCool getting a lot of interest on both logic and memory side, differentiates by being plug-and-play using same equipment used today

  80% confidence

• OTT expected to contribute 30% to 35% of total revenue in 2026

  80% confidence