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Source document· December 7, 2025

Wall Street's 2026 outlook for stocks

View original at finance.yahoo.com
Wall Street's 2026 outlook for stocks It’s that time of year when Wall Street’s top strategists tell clients where they see the stock market heading in the year ahead…
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  • S&P 500 will reach 7,400 by end of 2026 with EPS of $305

    80% confidence
  • We're in the midst of a new bull market and earnings cycle, especially for many of the lagging areas of the index

    80% confidence
  • S&P 500 will reach 8,000 by end of 2026

    80% confidence
  • S&P 500 will reach 7,800 by end of 2026 with EPS of $317

    80% confidence
  • Inflation expected to remain above the Fed's 2% target rate in 2026

    80% confidence
  • S&P 500 will reach 7,500 by end of 2026 with EPS of $300, suggesting another year of double-digit gains mirroring the late 1990s equity boom

    80% confidence
  • S&P 500 will reach 7,100 by end of 2026 with EPS of $310, implying approximately 5% price return

    80% confidence
  • The price target should be viewed as a compass as opposed to a GPS

    80% confidence
  • S&P 500 will reach 7,300 by end of 2026 with EPS of $310

    80% confidence
  • Magnificent 7 names expected to lead earnings surge but growth rate expected to cool from recent years

    80% confidence
  • S&P 500 will reach 7,700 by end of 2026 with EPS of $310

    80% confidence
  • S&P 500 will reach 7,500 by end of 2026 with EPS of $309, driven by approximately 14% earnings growth

    80% confidence
  • The standard deviation around the mean annual total return for the S&P 500 is nearly 20 percentage points

    80% confidence
  • Valuations will rise a lot further before the bubble, if there is one, bursts

    80% confidence
  • S&P 500 will reach 7,400 by end of 2026

    80% confidence
  • Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates in 2026

    80% confidence
  • Mid-term election years since 1946 averaged 18% intra-year drawdown, highest of all four years of presidential cycle

    80% confidence
  • We expect a pickup in earnings growth in 2026 to 14% from 10% in 2025, taking S&P 500 EPS to $320

    80% confidence
  • S&P 500 will reach 7,800 by end of 2026 with EPS of $310

    80% confidence
  • S&P 500 will reach 7,500 by end of 2026 with EPS of $315

    80% confidence
  • One Big Beautiful Bill Act expected to add 0.9% to GDP

    80% confidence
  • S&P 500 will reach 8,000 by end of 2026 with EPS of $320

    80% confidence
  • S&P 500 will reach 7,750 by end of 2026 with EPS of $311

    80% confidence
  • Consensus calls for 14% earnings growth for S&P 500 in 2026

    80% confidence
  • The backdrop is positive for US assets — it's too early to call the bull run over

    80% confidence
  • 2026 should be volatile since it is a mid-term election year, especially since a 'wave' is at stake

    80% confidence
  • Current elevated multiples correctly anticipate above-trend earnings growth, an AI capex boom, rising shareholder payouts, and easier fiscal and monetary policies

    80% confidence
  • 2026 will be just another year of the Roaring 2020s

    80% confidence
Ce que nous savons · l'intelligence derrière cette page
En direct du substrat
Ce que nous observons
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Early-to-mid November 2026 is a dense run of clinical readouts and Q3 earnings at AHA, AASLD, ACR and ASH. Mid-cap biotechs (Vir, Mineralys, Arrowhead, Oryzon, Novartis, J&J) are reporting data that feeds into regulatory decisions. The next ones are the ivonescimab BLA (Nov 14) and the lorundrostat PDUFA (Dec 22), followed by ECLIPSE 2/3 and Maritime-1 readouts in Q1 2027. The list also includes an unrelated delisting track (EGM Nov 19, application Jan 25, 2027), and the facts have no AI or fintech content.
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Là où les sources divergent
Ford Motor Company
Both facts give cash for Ford Motor Company at the same point in time (2025-12-31; FY 2025 year-end and Q4 2025 year-end are the same date). Both are labelled USD, but the values are 23,356,000,000 and 23.356, which cannot both be true in USD. The two numbers agree once the second is read as billions (23.356 bn = 23,356,000,000), so the economic content is consistent and the conflict is a unit/scale error in the Q4 2025 record. The period is not the reason for the conflict: a Q4 and an FY figure at the same year-end date should match.
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