Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq turn higher, oil slides as Trump says war could be over soon

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• Bond market stress could get nasty quickly and hit stocks harder as leveraged Treasury trades unwind

  80% confidence

• US is very far ahead of initial 4-5 week estimated time frame for Iran conflict

  80% confidence

• Impact of higher fuel costs on airfare would probably start quick

  80% confidence

• Banks cannot catch a bid on steeper curve, which is a warning signal

  80% confidence

• Lamb Weston should expand cost reduction program and conduct strategic review of certain international operations, particularly in Asia Pacific

  80% confidence

• First Novo-Hims partnership ended because Hims didn't stop mass compounding of copycat drugs as agreed

  80% confidence

• Has a plan to bring down oil prices

  80% confidence

• Until transports can stabilize, hard to make case that broader growth scare is easing

  80% confidence

• Odds of geopolitical deal increase as S&P 500 approaches 10% drawdown (roughly 6,280)

  80% confidence

• Software rally looks more like short covering than durable comeback

  80% confidence

• With bitcoin issuance fixed and large holders continuing to accumulate during volatility, sustained downside would likely require broader deterioration in liquidity conditions

  80% confidence

• US could go into recession because of Iran situation

  80% confidence

• Market is trading financials like a credit-stress proxy despite friendlier yield curve

  80% confidence

• G7 agreed on following the oil situation very closely and are ready to take all necessary measures including using strategic reserves to stabilize the market

  80% confidence

• Lamb Weston is well positioned to enter new phase of value creation with structural improvement in margins, capital allocation, and earnings power

  80% confidence

• Leadership beneath market surface looks more consistent with de-risking than fresh risk appetite

  80% confidence

• Additional $250 million in cost cuts beyond initial program is necessary for Lamb Weston

  80% confidence

• The war with Iran is very complete, pretty much. Iran has no navy, no communications, no Air Force

  80% confidence

Data points we hold from this source