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Source document· May 23, 2026

How The Match Group (MTCH) Narrative Is Shifting With New Product Efforts And Valuation Views

View original at finance.yahoo.com
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  • Tinder in-person events for Gen Z users have reportedly reached capacity

    60% confidence
  • Match Group's refreshed analyst narrative is accompanied by a higher modeled fair value, rising from about US$36.29 to about US$41.06

    60% confidence
  • Match Group expects net income attributable to shareholders of US$160 million to US$165 million for Q2 2026, implying approximately 19% net income margin at the midpoint

    60% confidence
  • Morgan Stanley is the most constructive it has been on Match Group in years

    60% confidence
  • Morgan Stanley maintained an Equal Weight rating on Match Group, suggesting the firm sees it as fairly balanced between opportunity and risk at current levels rather than clearly undervalued

    60% confidence
  • Match Group expects total revenue of US$850 million to US$860 million for Q2 2026

    60% confidence
  • Morgan Stanley's US$35 price target on Match Group could be supported if monthly active users respond to faster product rollout at Tinder and improving usage trends

    60% confidence
  • Wells Fargo cut its Match Group price target by US$3, indicating risk around how product changes translate into financial outcomes

    60% confidence
  • From 1 January 2026 to 30 April 2026, Match Group repurchased 2,659,847 shares for US$82.31 million, bringing total buybacks under its December 2024 authorization to 19,420,941 shares for US$623.79 million

    60% confidence
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