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Source document· March 6, 2026

Stocks Retreat on Inflation Concerns and a Weak US Job Market

View original at nasdaq.com
Stocks Retreat on Inflation Concerns and a Weak US Job Market The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) on Friday closed down -1.33%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI) (DIA) closed down -0.95%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) closed down -1.51%…
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  • Baseline features still-uncertain inflation picture with continued upside risks, arguing for maintaining policy rates at current mildly restrictive levels

    80% confidence

  • Real-time risk premium for crude oil is $18/bbl, corresponding to estimate of impact of six-week full halt to tanker traffic in Strait of Hormuz

    80% confidence

  • S&P earnings growth expected to climb by +8.4% in Q4, marking tenth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth

    80% confidence

  • Vessels sailing through Strait of Hormuz could be at risk from missiles or rogue drones

    80% confidence

  • Year-over-year revenue growth rate will accelerate each quarter throughout fiscal 2027

    80% confidence

  • Government is exceptional at printing money and creating promises but can't print gold or create oil

    80% confidence

  • There will be no deal with Iran except unconditional surrender

    80% confidence

  • Q4 earnings expected to increase by +4.6% excluding Magnificent Seven megacap technology stocks

    80% confidence

  • Policy should be on hold for quite some time as inflation comes down and labor market stabilizes

    80% confidence

  • The Iran war is unlikely to cause sustained inflation

    80% confidence

  • All Gulf energy exporters would shut down production within weeks if the war drags on, driving crude oil prices to $150 a barrel

    80% confidence

  • The war in the Middle East could bring down the economies of the world

    80% confidence

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Là où les sources divergent
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
Two significantly different EPS values (10.21 vs 2.68 USD_per_share) are reported for Morgan Stanley on the same observation date (2025-12-31). Fact A specifies FY 2025, while Fact B's 'N/A' fiscal period is ambiguous. If both represent FY 2025 annual EPS, these values directly conflict. The magnitude of the difference (3.8x) is too large to attribute to rounding or minor calculation variations. The missing fiscal period in Fact B raises data quality concerns, but same-date observation + same attribute should reference the same period.
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