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Source document· March 3, 2026

Stocks Sink as Crude Oil Surge Rattles Markets

View original at nasdaq.com
Stocks Sink as Crude Oil Surge Rattles Markets The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) today is down -2.18%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI) (DIA) is down -2.27%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) is down -2.37%…
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  • We will set fire to any ship attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz

    80% confidence

  • Combat operations against Iran could last for weeks until all objectives were completed

    80% confidence

  • Additional Fed interest rate cuts will be warranted if inflation slows further once most of the impact of tariffs has passed

    80% confidence

  • The real-time risk premium for crude oil is $18/bbl, corresponding to the impact of a six-week full halt to tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz

    80% confidence

  • Inflation has been above the Fed's objective for nearly five years now, so I don't think we have room to be complacent

    80% confidence

  • Excluding the Magnificent Seven megacap technology stocks, Q4 earnings are expected to increase by 4.6%

    80% confidence

  • Iran's leaders should capitulate

    80% confidence

  • S&P earnings growth is expected to climb by 8.4% in Q4, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth

    80% confidence

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Là où les sources divergent
Ford Motor Company
Both facts give cash for Ford Motor Company at the same point in time (2025-12-31; FY 2025 year-end and Q4 2025 year-end are the same date). Both are labelled USD, but the values are 23,356,000,000 and 23.356, which cannot both be true in USD. The two numbers agree once the second is read as billions (23.356 bn = 23,356,000,000), so the economic content is consistent and the conflict is a unit/scale error in the Q4 2025 record. The period is not the reason for the conflict: a Q4 and an FY figure at the same year-end date should match.
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