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Source document· April 18, 2026

Record Highs in the S&P 500 Show Selling on War Headlines Is Usually a Mistake

View original at nasdaq.com
Record Highs in the S&P 500 Show Selling on War Headlines Is Usually a Mistake Key Points The S&P 500 index reached record highs on April 16 despite the volatility of the Iran war…
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Ce que nous avons tiré de cette source

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  • Most recent wars have not had a significant long-term impact on the stock market

    60% confidence

  • S&P 500 profit margins were at new highs of 15% as of early April

    60% confidence

  • Wall Street analysts expect 12% earnings growth from the S&P 500 for the current quarter

    60% confidence

  • A close connection doesn't exist between recent wars and long-term stock market performance, whether involving smaller countries like Kosovo or Iraq, or major exporters like Russia and Ukraine

    60% confidence

Data points we hold from this source

S&P 500 · stock price7041.28 index_points
S&P 500 · ytd return2.9 percent
S&P 500 · return since march 30 low11 percent
S&P 500 · profit margin15 percent
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Là où les sources divergent
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
Two significantly different EPS values (10.21 vs 2.68 USD_per_share) are reported for Morgan Stanley on the same observation date (2025-12-31). Fact A specifies FY 2025, while Fact B's 'N/A' fiscal period is ambiguous. If both represent FY 2025 annual EPS, these values directly conflict. The magnitude of the difference (3.8x) is too large to attribute to rounding or minor calculation variations. The missing fiscal period in Fact B raises data quality concerns, but same-date observation + same attribute should reference the same period.
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