Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500 edge higher, Nasdaq wavers as Fed cuts interest rates by 25 basis points

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• Chewy continues to outperform the pet category and expand market share, with profits once again growing faster than sales

  80% confidence

• Gold bull markets don't normally come to an end because they're overbought. The gold markets normally come to an end because the underlying conditions that triggered a bull market have subsided, but we don't see that.

  80% confidence

• Ongoing supply disruptions and the repositioning of copper to the U.S. ahead of potential policy changes are impacting an already tight copper market. The premium paid for the metal in the U.S. is impacting already low global inventories and is placing upward pressure on global copper prices.

  80% confidence

• Fed signaled a pause for January, indicating a substantial amount of data will be coming in next week, clearing up uncertainty

  80% confidence

• If gold demand continues to grow at roughly 14% (average rate since 2001), gold is likely to crack $5,000 per ounce in 2026

  80% confidence

• Gold is overbought but underinvested with more room to grow

  80% confidence

• China must fix economic imbalances as trade surplus hits $1T

  80% confidence

• We're well-positioned to see how the economy evolves

  80% confidence

• Fed projects one more rate cut for 2026

  80% confidence

• Central banks hold more gold than US Treasurys for the first time since at least the 1990s

  80% confidence

• As of late, the view has been that CHWY's gross margin has limited upside going forward. While the scaling of its sponsored ad initiative has been a meaningful gross margin driver of the past several quarters, we think this trend needs to continue for the company to see the same magnitude of GM gains.

  80% confidence

• I think it's a bit of a relief given that it could have been even more hawkish. Markets are also taking this with a grain of salt, knowing that next year we're going to get a lot of changes when it comes to the Fed.

  80% confidence

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